Carnival capsizing may exacerbate lost bookings

carnival capsize.jpg(Bloomberg): Carnival Corp. (CCL)’s losses following the grounding of the Costa Concordia cruise ship off Italy may be exacerbated by the disaster coinciding with the start of the peak-booking season. About one-third of all cruise vacations are arranged during the so-called wave season from January to March, said Sharon Zackfia, an analyst with William Blair & Co. in Chicago. “They’re the most profitable bookings,” Zackfia said in an interview. “Presumably most people now are booking for the key summer season, which is when the cruise lines make the bulk of their money.”

Europe generated about 38 percent of Miami-based Carnival’s revenue in fiscal 2010, the last full year for which geographic results are available.

Its Genoa-based Costa Crociere unit is the continent’s largest cruise line based on passengers and ship capacity, according to Carnival (CCL), the world’s biggest cruise operator with brands including Cunard and Princess Cruises.

“The timing of this event could weaken 2012 booking trends given the fact that it occurred early in the wave season,” Emile Courtney, a New York-based Standard & Poor’s credit analyst said in a note. The grounding “could weigh on booking trends across other cruise brands.”

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Comments

Unfortunately maritime history tells us that international standards and enforcement are way behind the curve of human greed and foolishness -  think Titanic, Exxon Valdez and Herald of Free Enterprise for example. A combination of faulty design and bad seamanship is a killer. We can only wonder what would have happened if the captain of the Costa Concordia had decided to go iceberg hunting. Tim Ridley

If it looks top heavy it probably is top heavy

Carnival shares are reported as having dropped nearly 17% in today's trading.

Judging by the smokescreen being put up by Costa in an attempt to divert attention for the real safety issues I would say the cruise industry is running scared on this one.
While his employers are trying to blame Captain Schettino for the disaster they are conveniently ducking the question of how a modern vessel, presumably with all the required watertight compartments and redundant buoyancy below the waterline, could capsize in this way.
It makes you wonder just how safe these big cruise liners are.
 

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